Africa's COVID19 pandemic is subject to Public responsibility

Africa's COVID19 pandemic is subject to Public responsibility
  • A worst-case predictions for the Ebola outbreak had not come true because people changed their behavior in time.
  •  Africa has seen more than 17,000 confirmed cases of COVID-19 and about 900 deaths so far 
  • Africa has more than 17,000 confirmed cases of COVID-19 and about 900 deaths so far 


The W.H.O has warned that Coronavirus cases in Africa could surge from just thousands now to 10 million within three to six months, according to provisional modelling. This was reported by a regional World Health Organization (WHO).

Though the figures are alarming, Michel Yao, head of emergency operations for W.H.O Africa, said on Thursday it was a tentative projection that could change. He sited that worst case predictions for the Ebola outbreak in Africa failed to materialise due to the public adhering to health precautions on time.

"This is still to be fine-tuned," he told a media teleconference. "It's difficult to make a long-term estimation because the context changes too much and also public health measures, when they are fully implemented, they can actually have an impact."

Separately, new research said Africa could see 300,000 deaths from the coronavirus even under the best-case scenario, according to modeling by the Imperial College London.

Under the worst-case scenario with no interventions against the virus, Africa could see 3.3 million deaths and 1.2 billion infections, the report by the UN Economic Commission for Africa said.

The world's poorest continent has seen more than 17,000 confirmed cases of COVID-19 and about 900 deaths so far - relatively few compared with other regions.

But there are fears that the numbers could balloon and overwhelm shaky health services.

"We are concerned that the virus continues to spread geographically, within countries," said Matshidiso Moeti, director of WHO's Africa region, which comprises 46 sub-Saharan nations and Algeria.

"The numbers continue to increase every day."

What we can glean from Singapour’s Fight against COVID19?

Singapore has reported fewer than 390 cases and had zero deaths until Saturday when it confirmed its first two fatalities since the outbreak began there in late January.

Singapore's relatively low rate of infection came through a potent combination of early and intensive policy intervention, including shutting its borders to Chinese travelers on Feb.

Proactive, not reactive

On Friday, Singapore took a step further with its contact tracing process, rolling out a smartphone app called TraceTogether, which it has encouraged Singaporeans to download.

Using Bluetooth signals, the app enables authorities to identify people who've been exposed to patients infected with the coronavirus. Phones within two meters of each other exchange Bluetooth signals, allowing the app to make a record of the encounter.

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